Long-term Energy Scenarios (LTES) Initiative

Overview

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The Long-term Energy Scenarios (LTES) Initiative, formerly known as the LTES Campaign, aims to promote the improved use of model-based long-term energy scenarios to support and accelerate the energy transition in CEM countries. It was launched as a campaign at the Ninth Clean Energy Ministerial (CEM9) in Copenhagen in May 2018, but due to its great success it was transformed into a CEM initiative in 2021.

LTES is currently co-chaired by the Danish and German governments and coordnated by IRENA. It brings together a large community of 28 member governments and 12 technical partners.

28 LTES members: Austria; Bosnia and Herzegovina; Brazil; Canada; Chile; Colombia; Costa Rica; Cyprus; Denmark; Dominican Republic; El Salvador; Finland; Germany; Ghana; Italy; Japan; Kenya; Latvia; Lithuania; Mexico; Kingdom of the Netherlands; Peru; Philippines; Portugal; Saudi Arabia; United Arab Emirates; United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland

12 Technical partners: Energy Research Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences (ERI RAS); Joint Institute for Strategic Energy Analysis (JISEA) at NREL; World Resources Institute; Ricerca Sistema Energetico (RSE); GET.transform; World Energy Council; International Energy Agency (IEA); China National Renewable Energy Centre (CNREC) European Commission; European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC); State Grid Corporation of China (SGCC); IEA ETSAP Technology Cooperation Programme; The World Bank

Goals

The LTES Initiative focuses and aims to benefit members in the institutional aspects around three core areas:

Strengthening scenario development: How can scenarios be developed to better account for potentially transformational changes?
Improving scenario use: How can scenarios be better used for strategic decision-making by governments and investors?
Identifying capacity-building approaches: What approaches can enhance institutional capacity for scenario planning?

Activities

WORKSHOPS, EVENTS & WEBINARS

Since 2018, LTES has organized multiple series of events to exchange experiences and best practices for long-term energy scenarios that support the clean energy transition.

2022 4th International Forum on Long-term Scenarios for the Clean Energy Transition, https://www.irena.org/Events/2022/Dec/4th-International-Forum-on-Long-term-Scenarios-for-the-Clean-Energy-Transition

2022 Berlin Energy Transition: Insights from net-zero LTES for national energy planning u003ca rel=u0022noreferrer noopeneru0022 href=u0022https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gTigM-i3-6Iu0022 target=u0022_blanku0022u003ehttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gTigM-i3-6Iu003c/au003eList item

2022 Webinar Series on Long-term energy scenarios for developing national energy transition plans in Africa, u003ca rel=u0022noreferrer noopeneru0022 href=u0022https://irena.org/events/2021/Nov/LTES-for-Developing-National-Energy-Transition-Plans-in-Africau0022 target=u0022_blanku0022u003ehttps://irena.org/events/2021/Nov/LTES-for-Developing-National-Energy-Transition-Plans-in-Africau003c/au003e

2021 3u003csupu003erdu003c/supu003e International Forum on Long-term Energy Scenarios for the Clean Energy Transition: The role of long-term energy scenarios (LTES) in achieving net-zero commitments u003ca rel=u0022noreferrer noopeneru0022 href=u0022https://irena.org/-/media/Files/IRENA/Agency/Events/2021/Jun/Proceedings270721.pdf?la=enu0026amp;hash=91369949F1875BFA01DF9A178BD03B6741FE0F8Bu0022 target=u0022_blanku0022u003ehttps://irena.org/-/media/Files/IRENA/Agency/Events/2021/Jun/Proceedings270721.pdf?la=enu0026amp;hash=91369949F1875BFA01DF9A178BD03B6741FE0F8Bu003c/au003e

2021 Webinar Series on Long-term energy scenarios for developing national clean energy transition plans in Latin America u003ca rel=u0022noreferrer noopeneru0022 href=u0022https://irena.org/events/2021/Feb/LTES-for-developing-national-clean-energy-transition-plans-in-Latin-Americau0022 target=u0022_blanku0022u003ehttps://irena.org/events/2021/Feb/LTES-for-developing-national-clean-energy-transition-plans-in-Latin-Americau003c/au003e

2021 Webinar Series on National Experiences in Long Term Energy Scenario Use and Development u003ca rel=u0022noreferrer noopeneru0022 href=u0022https://irena.org/events/2021/Nov/2nd-Webinar-Series-on-National-Experience-in-LTES-Use-and-Developmentu0022 target=u0022_blanku0022u003ehttps://irena.org/events/2021/Nov/2nd-Webinar-Series-on-National-Experience-in-LTES-Use-and-Developmentu003c/au003e List item

2018- 2019 Webinar Series on Long-term Energy Scenarios u003ca rel=u0022noreferrer noopeneru0022 href=u0022https://www.irena.org/renewables/Knowledge-Gateway/webinars/2018/Nov/Webinar-series-on-Long-term-Energy-Scenariosu0022 target=u0022_blanku0022u003ehttps://www.irena.org/renewables/Knowledge-Gateway/webinars/2018/Nov/Webinar-series-on-Long-term-Energy-Scenariosu003c/au003e

For a full list of past events, u003ca rel=u0022noreferrer noopeneru0022 href=u0022https://www.irena.org/energytransition/Energy-Transition-Scenarios-Network/ETS-Net-Eventsu0022 target=u0022_blanku0022u003evisit IRENA’s LTES Event pageu003c/au003ee.

Recordings

https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLGZxC2iViPRqDSEJBqPh-kOUsdjeQjL5w

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CSem0Cm94dEu0026list=PLo3QlYcNebYqCP_KqqQImIA5db2gSzRHZu0026index=46

For a full list of past events, visit IRENA’s LTES Event page

Publications

:u003ca rel=u0022noreferrer noopeneru0022 href=u0022https://www.irena.org/Publications/2023/Jan/Scenarios-for-the-energy-transition-Experience-and-good-practices-in-Africau0022 target=u0022_blanku0022u003eScenarios for the Energy Transition: Experience and Good Practices in Africau003c/au003e (January 2023)

u003ca rel=u0022noreferrer noopeneru0022 href=u0022https://www.irena.org/Publications/2023/Jan/LTES-and-low-emission-development-strategies-Stocktaking-and-alignmentu0022 target=u0022_blanku0022u003eLong-Term Energy Scenarios and Low-Emission Development Strategies: Stocktaking and Alignmentu003c/au003e (January 2023)

u003ca rel=u0022noreferrer noopeneru0022 href=u0022https://www.irena.org/Publications/2022/Jul/Scenarios-for-the-Energy-Transition-LACu0022 target=u0022_blanku0022u003eScenarios for the Energy Transition: Experience and Good Practices in Latin America and the Caribbeanu003c/au003e (July 2022) (u003ca rel=u0022noreferrer noopeneru0022 href=u0022https://www.irena.org/publications/2022/Jul/Scenarios-for-the-Energy-Transition-LAC-ESu0022 target=u0022_blanku0022u003eEspañolu003c/au003e)

u003ca rel=u0022noreferrer noopeneru0022 href=u0022https://www.irena.org/Publications/2021/Sep/Benchmarking-Scenario-Comparisonsu0022 target=u0022_blanku0022u003eBenchmarking Scenario Comparison: Key indicators for the clean energy transitionu003c/au003e (September 2021)

u003ca rel=u0022noreferrer noopeneru0022 href=u0022https://www.irena.org/Publications/2020/Sep/Scenarios-for-the-Energy-Transition-Global-experience-and-best-practicesu0022 target=u0022_blanku0022u003eScenarios for the Energy Transition: Global experience and best practicesu003c/au003e (September 2020)

u003ca rel=u0022noreferrer noopeneru0022 href=u0022https://www.irena.org/Publications/2019/May/LTES-First-year-campaign-findingsu0022 target=u0022_blanku0022u003eLong-term energy scenarios: First-year campaign findingsu003c/au003e (May 2019)